Showing posts with label VISHAL RETAIL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label VISHAL RETAIL. Show all posts

Thursday, August 30, 2007

Vishal Mega Mart Walks the Plank


By Vipin Agnihotri



Everyone in India is talking of ‘Retail’ being the next sunrise sector but there is a real danger that one mega player is approaching sunset unless, it alters course. Yes you guess it right! We are talking about the Vishal Mega Mart, who has captured imaginations of wannabe entrepreneurs.


At this moment of time, Vishal Retail boasts of 53 showrooms in 41 cities splattered across 18 states on the Indian map. Generally speaking, company is more into the tier II and tier III cities. You may ask: Why? There are two reasons behind this strategy. First and foremost, the lower real estate and infrastructural costs in these cities. Secondly, the virgin markets in such places make the markets conducive for players like Vishal Mega Mart.


In terms of statistics, company recorded a turnover of Rs 6.03 billion during financial year 2006-07 with an aggressive CAGR of 86 percent. What’s more, company profit figures during the same period also shot past the Rs 250 million mark. You may think that these figures are absolutely stunning but when you compare these figures with the prime competitor of Vishal you will realize why there is tough road ahead for Vishal Retail.


Pantaloons Retail last year managed a sales turnover figure of Rs 19.0 billion, clearly outshining Vishal. If experts are to be believed, down market and low profile cloud surrounding Vishal stores is the main reason behind all this. Furthermore, with Indian middle class going truly urban, Vishal may just soon question its present strategy of risking too much on its value for money offering.


In my opinion, the young adults of India are ambitious and have money to spend on their lifestyle. It is worth mentioning in this regard that they are also brand conscious and internationally aware of what their counterparts in the west are wearing. This is a danger sign for Vishal.


With names such as Reliance, Bharti-Walmart and Bombay Dyeing eyeing the fertile Indian retail space, the going will only get tougher for Vishal. Creating sub-brands can do the trick for Vishal. In addition, Vishal should diversify into the food retailing business, which is clearly making waves around the country.


Making matter worse for Vishal is the politicians of India who just because of some votes are opposing the entry of big business houses in the retail sector. It is worthwhile pointing that UP government has already banned Reliance Fresh from the state and some other states are also thinking to do the same. Clearly, tough time ahead for Vishal Mega Mart and other big business houses who are interested in investing in the retail sector of India.


Suggested Reading:




Friday, July 6, 2007

BSE Sensex Reaches 15,000 – All Time High!


India stock market – weekly review – Week of July 1, 2007



Disclosure


Sensex creates history:


The Bombay Stock Exchange Sensex achieved yet another milestone when it reached 15000 mark today. It recorded a high of 15007 in the afternoon. From 14000, it has taken 144 trading sessions to reach this landmark. The index closed at 14964.




Nifty this week:


The Nifty closed at 4385 (another record close), gaining 66.55 (1.54%) during the week. I had mentioned in my Monthly review – June 2007 that:


“The waves a and b appear to be over as we can see consolidation through wave c. Today the index has gained 36 points. So, the short term trend has turned bullish”


As anticipated the index managed to move up higher. On 02.07.07 there was a very minor correction of 4.55 points and on 05.07.07 again it lost a meagre 5.35 points. The remaining three days belonged to the bulls. Today the index had gained nearly 31 points. On 03.07.07 it gained almost 44 points. Nifty closed flat (just a gain of 1.75 points) on 04.07.07.

However, let us be slightly realistic rather than over enthusiastic. The last three trading sessions have witnessed three lower lows of 4342, 4312 and and 4304 respectively. This is not an encouraging sign. Moreover, the stochastic indicators tell us that the market has entered overbought zones. Under the circumstances, a corrective decline next week cannot be ruled out. This correction, if occurs, will only be a healthy sign that the bull market will continue its uptrend. Index has short term support around 4200.



http://groups.google.com/group/theindiastreet/web/NiftyDaily060707.JPG


The medium term and long term trends continue to remain bullish.


IPO update:


Vishal Retail and DLF got listed on 04.07.07 and 05.07.07 respectively. Vishal Retail (Issue price Rs.270) received excellent response on the day of listing, reaching a high of 784.40. Today it has closed at 765.05. DLF, (Issue price Rs.525) recorded reasonable gains yesterday and today. It closed at 573.60.


One more IPO, Everonn is currently live at NSE. The following table gives the bidding status at 1700 IST on 06.07.07.


Total Issue Size

4000000

Total Bids Received

1539400

Total Bids Received at Cut-off Price

1241100

No. of times issue is subscribed

0.38


BEML was oversubscribed nearly 30 times whereas HDIL was oversubscribed nearly 6.5 times.


The following tables gives the top 5 gainers and losers among index stocks for the week:


Scrip

Gain (%)

Scrip

Loss (%)

ACC

11.33

HDFC

5.76

M & M

8.92

HINDALCO

3.59

LT

7.58

ONGC

3.20

MARUTI

7.10

PNB

3.14

HINDLEVER

6.65

REL

2.51


The following tables gives the top 5 gainers and losers in the overall market for the week:


Scrip

Gain (%)

Scrip

Loss (%)

EVENIX

70.64

GMRINDSTRS

13.33

AKRUTI

46.94

JAICORPLTD

11.72

INDUSFILA

42.82

MCDHOLDING

11.39

INDIAFOILS

36.31

NATCOPHARM

10.77

GENESYS

25.62

UTTAMSUGAR

10.42


EVENIX and AKRUTI are cases of bear trap. INDUSFILA was in consolidation since March 2007 and it broke out on 03.07.07.


The following table gives the advance/decline ratio for the week:


Date

Traded

Adv

Ad%

Dec

Dec%

Unch

Unch%

02/07/07

1120

595

53.13

500

44.64

25

2.23

03/07/07

1120

611

54.55

476

42.50

33

2.95

04/07/07

1118

477

42.67

609

54.47

32

2.86

05/07/07

1116

305

27.33

780

69.89

31

2.78

06/07/07

1122

621

55.35

470

41.89

31

2.76

Total

5596

2609

46.62

2835

50.66

152

2.72



We have been tracking the following stocks in my previous articles. The following table gives the percentage gain and loss for each stock this week.


Scrip

Current Price

% Gain

POLYPLEX

144.7

17.69

APARINDS

188.05

12.50

LAKSHVILAS

85.65

11.38

BEML

1291

11.18

SINTEX

263.1

10.62

INDIANB

140.95

10.38

SKUMARSYNF

111.1

9.19

SREINTFIN

97.05

8.44

IBREALEST

453.15

8.33

SOUTHBANK

136.3

6.90

EVERESTIND

121.3

4.98

PSL

309.25

4.37

JINDALPHOT

115.85

4.28

DENABANK

48.65

4.06

ORBITCORP

280.55

2.88

PUNJABTRAC

279.3

2.80

RPL

114.2

2.79

GODREJIND

210

2.74

SRF

175.05

2.13

INDSWFTLAB

59.8

2.05

SICAL

279.15

1.29

GTL

227.65

0.93

XLTL

135.45

0.89

HCC

124.25

0.85

FDC

32.6

0.15

GVKPIL

483.35

(0.66)

AZTECSOFT

87.65

(0.96)

HIKAL

482.55

(1.36)

ADANIENT

270.25

(1.48)

POCHIRAJU

25.65

(1.72)

DCB

102.65

(2.24)

GOKEX

236.95

(2.33)

OPTOCIRCUI

375.6

(2.47)

OMAXAUTO

79.95

(2.68)

CADILAHC

358.6

(4.84)

GLOBALVECT

223.2

(6.94)

TINPLATE

57

(8.65)


ACC, GRASIM, GUJAMBCEM have turned bullish in weekly charts. BAJAJAUTO, CIPLA, DRREDDY continue to remain bearish in medium term. HCLTECH, HEROHONDA,MTNL and NATIONALUM remain sideways. ABB, RCOM and RPL continue to remain bullish though slightly overbought at this time.




SUNDARAMURTHY VADIVELU


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