Showing posts with label LABELS: NSE. Show all posts
Showing posts with label LABELS: NSE. Show all posts

Friday, July 27, 2007

Top 10 Hot India Stocks for July 2007


Disclosure


In this article let us analyze the technical aspects of the top 10 India stocks which have been either very strongly bought or sold this month. As usual, the discussion is restricted to ‘A’ group or ‘B1’ group stocks of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).


List of top 10 gainers:


Scrip

% Gain

SGFL

118.42

EVINIX

91.98

KOTHARIPRO

81.88

AKRUTI

67.07

NECLIFE

66.02

ZEENEWS

58.11

GOLDTECH

51.74

AXIS-IT&T

48.98

SUNILHITEC

43.39

IBREALEST

42.94


Shree Ganesh Forgings Limited (SGFL):


Price data is available at NSE from May 22, 2007. However it is being traded at BSE since August 2005. We shall analyze both weekly and daily charts.


It fell from a high of 83.5 in September 2005 to a low of 25.70 in July 2006. It closed above the resistance trendline in second week of October 2006. Once this happens, some investors enter the stock anticipating further uptrend. But there is a risk in this type of trade entry. As can be seen from the chart, the stock fell continuously and even broke its support at previous low during the last week of March 2007. Once support is broken, more sellers should come in. But what about those who bought the stock above the resistance trendline? The bulls responded with non stop vertical rally. This rise, will be used to exit the stock.



http://groups.google.com/group/theindiastreet/web/SGFL_Weekly.JPG


(Chart courtesy: BSE Web site, www.bseindia.com)


In daily chart, after the resistance at 33.65 was broken on July 3 the stock has seen very little downside volatility. Note the number of one priced doji’s i.e. open, high, low and close are all same. This indicates that the stock had opened and closed at the highest possible price for the day.




http://groups.google.com/group/theindiastreet/web/SGFL_Daily.JPG


(Chart courtesy: BSE Web site, www.bseindia.com)


Evenix Accessories Limited:



http://groups.google.com/group/theindiastreet/web/EVINIX.JPG



We have seen in “Chart patterns and market’s reaction” about bullish and bearish patterns. The “flag” pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that can last upto 12 weeks. The debate is still on about the duration, though. Firstly, a “pole” needs to be formed; this consists of a rapid sharp move with heavy volumes. Then a flag, or small rectangle pattern is formed against the previous uptrend. Once the stock breaks above the resistance trendline, again a sharp upmove occurs. The stock had all the way gone up from 85.60 to 163.65 without a single correction.


Kothari Products Limited:


Weekly chart suggests that it closed above its previous high of 647.95 almost after a year; it had been consolidating so far.


Akruti Nirman Limited & Axis IT & T:


These are cases of bear trap. We discussed about Akruti Nirman in my previous article “BSE India launches New Real Estate Index


Nectar Life Sciences Limited, Zee News, Goldstone Technologies, Sunil Hitec and Indiabulls Real Estate broke their previous highs on July 13, July 18, June 28, July 11, June 25 respectively.


The following table gives the top 10 losers for this month:


Scrip

% Loss

AARVEEDEN

22.48

KMSUGAR

21.40

TIPSINDLTD

21.36

HTMTGLOBAL

21.33

DECOLIGHT

20.45

AARTIIND

19.73

POLARIS

19.48

IGS

19.43

ZENSARTECH

18.49

MALWACOTT

18.46


We have discussed about Aarvee Denim, Igate Global Soluitons and Zensar Technologies in my earlier articles.


K M Sugar Mills Limited:



http://groups.google.com/group/theindiastreet/web/KMSUGAR.JPG


(Chart courtesy: BSE Web site, www.bseindia.com)

The weekly chart of KM Sugar Mills shows the bearish trend in the stock. It has fallen from a high of 106 in December 2005 to a low of 18.9 this week. It has not been able to break resistances; instead, it keeps breaking supports. Sugar stocks have been hit worst in the last 18 months.


Tips Industries, HTMT Global, Decolight Ceramics, Aarti Industries and Polaris are bearish in daily charts. Malwa Cotton, a case of bear trap, gained about 29% last month. But it is struggling to find some solid support.




Sundaramurthy Vadivelu






Friday, July 13, 2007

The Bulls are Back! India stock market – weekly review

Disclosure



The India Street has remained bullish on Indian stock market. We have seen in our previous weekly reviews that the medium term trend and long term trend are bullish. This week was an interesting one and now we have the confirmation that the bulls are back on track.


In last week’s India stock review I had mentioned that, “However, let us be slightly realistic rather than over enthusiastic. The last three trading sessions have witnessed three lower lows of 4342, 4312 and and 4304 respectively. This is not an encouraging sign. Moreover, the stochastic indicators tell us that the market has entered overbought zones. Under the circumstances, a corrective decline next week cannot be ruled out. This correction, if occurs, will only be a healthy sign that the bull market will continue its uptrend.”


On Monday Nifty was up by 34.55 points. Tuesday and Wednesday witnessed corrective declines of 13.35 and 18.90 points respectively. Yesterday the market was buoyantly up by 59 points. Today the market was up once again by 58.40 points. Overall, the index has closed at 4505, gaining 119.70 points or 2.73% for the week.

This movement indicates that the market continues its short term bullish trend. The daily chart of Nifty is shown below.



http://groups.google.com/group/theindiastreet/web/NiftyDaily130707.JPG


The index continues to remain overbought in daily charts. But as I mentioned earlier, it is quite normal during a bull market. The Wilder’s DMI (28) also indicates a reasonable uptrend.


In my first India stock weekly review I had mentioned that “the weekly chart shows that there is an ascending triangle breakout with a triangle height of about 690 points. This when added to 4245 gives a target of 4935”. In the monthly charts, 38.2% retracement from a low of 3555 in March 2007 works out to 4913. So we can expect a target of 4915+ if this trend continues.


As of now, there is no significant reversal signs in short, medium or long term charts. Corrective declines in index will be good opportunities to enter.


Update on Everonn IPO:


Everonn Systems India Limited, a fully integrated education and learning Solutions Company, has received an overwhelming response for their initial public offering and the issue has been oversubscribed 131.47 times. High Networth Individuals (HNI’s) have oversubscribed the issue by 227.81 times.


Investor type

Oversubscription, x times

Qualified institutional buyers

92.95

Non institutional investors

277.81

Retail individual investors

123.80

Total

131.47


Top Gainers / Losers (Index Stocks)


Scrip

Gain (%)

Scrip

Loss (%)

SAIL

21.70

HEROHONDA

2.93

REL

13.08

RANBAXY

2.62

HINDALC0

12.82

HINDPETRO

2.30

TATASTEEL

11.63

TCS

1.95

STER

11.35

SUZLON

1.70


Top Gainers / Losers (Overall market)


Scrip

Gain (%)

Scrip

Loss (%)

KOTHARIPRO

52.89

NSIL

11.24

COLORCHIPS

52.17

WENDT

10.68

BSL

50.58

HOVS

8.90

MURUDCERA

43.22

TIPSINDLTD

8.75

MSPL

37.81

KALECONSUL

8.47


Advance / Decline Ratio:


Date

Traded

Adv

Ad %

Dec

Dec %

Unch

Unch %

09/07/07

1122

687

61.23

408

36.36

27

2.41

10/07/07

1126

431

38.28

672

59.68

23

2.04

11/07/07

1126

571

50.71

520

46.18

35

3.11

12/07/07

1125

771

68.53

324

28.80

30

2.67

13/07/07

1127

484

42.95

623

55.28

20

1.77

Total

5626

2944

52.33

2547

45.27

135

2.40



We have been tracking 42 stocks in our technical reviews / analyst upgrades / short term / medium term / long term picks. Following table shows the status of these stocks as on today:


Scrip

Position

Analysis

Close

Current

Highest

Date

Calendar

Gain


type

Date

AD

Price

Close

HC

days

%

ADANIENT

Medium Term

02/07/07

270.70

310.85

310.85

13/07/07

11

14.83

APARINDS

Review

19/06/07

169.05

216.05

216.05

13/07/07

24

27.80

ARVINDMILL

Short Term

12/07/07

48.50

47.45

50.95

12/07/07



AZTECSOFT

Review

19/06/07

87.95

86.85

89.10

09/07/07

20

1.31

BEML

Review

19/06/07

1,138.00

1,271.00

1,291.00

06/07/07

17

13.44

CADILAHC

Medium Term

25/06/07

373.25

360.45

396.90

26/06/07

1

6.34

DCB

Medium Term

19/06/07

95.80

112.30

112.30

13/07/07

24

17.22

DENABANK

Long Term

02/07/07

49.75

52.20

53.20

12/07/07

10

6.93

EVERESTIND

Short Term

05/07/07

123.95

120.15

123.95

05/07/07



FDC

Medium Term

25/06/07

35.35

31.95

35.35

25/06/07



GLOBALVECT

Medium Term

25/06/07

285.15

209.75

285.15

25/06/07



GNFC

Short Term

12/07/07

124.90

125.30

125.30

13/07/07

1

0.32

GODREJIND

Medium Term

02/07/07

214.65

209.90

220.55

12/07/07

10

2.75

GOKEX

Short Term

29/06/07

242.60

246.50

259.20

03/07/07

4

6.84

GTL

Long Term

02/07/07

222.60

225.10

230.70

10/07/07

8

3.64

GVKPIL

Long Term

02/07/07

496.95

543.25

543.25

13/07/07

11

9.32

HCC

Short Term

29/06/07

123.20

126.80

132.00

03/07/07

4

7.14

HIKAL

Medium Term

02/07/07

491.75

528.90

534.90

09/07/07

7

8.77

IBREALEST

Review

07/06/07

384.40

511.40

511.40

13/07/07

36

33.04

INDIANB

Short Term

05/07/07

141.05

151.65

151.65

13/07/07

8

7.52

INDSWFTLAB

Review

07/06/07

60.45

66.75

69.75

09/07/07

32

15.38

JINDALPHOT

Review

10/06/07

109.60

117.70

119.70

04/07/07

24

9.22

LAKSHVILAS

Review

19/06/07

78.95

91.75

91.75

13/07/07

24

16.21

OMAXAUTO

Review

07/06/07

92.05

78.90

92.05

07/06/07



OPTOCIRCUI

Short Term

29/06/07

385.10

426.20

426.40

11/07/07

12

10.72

ORBITCORP

Short Term

29/06/07

272.70

324.45

328.30

11/07/07

12

20.39

PARSVNATH

Short Term

12/07/07

394.00

378.25

394.00

12/07/07



PFC

Short Term

12/07/07

169.30

175.15

175.15

13/07/07

1

3.46

POCHIRAJU

Review

10/06/07

23.85

25.55

27.55

03/07/07

23

15.51

POLYPLEX

Short Term

05/07/07

144.60

146.60

150.05

12/07/07

7

3.77

PSL

Medium Term

19/06/07

266.80

373.00

373.60

12/07/07

23

40.03

PUNJABTRAC

Review

10/06/07

322.20

285.15

322.20

10/06/07



RPL

Long Term

02/07/07

114.35

117.90

117.90

13/07/07

11

3.10

SICAL

Medium Term

19/06/07

268.85

260.40

296.45

21/06/07

2

10.27

SINTEX

Short Term

05/07/07

259.65

289.75

289.75

13/07/07

8

11.59

SKUMARSYNF

Medium Term

25/06/07

91.45

109.80

112.10

04/07/07

9

22.58










Scrip

Position

Analysis

Close

Current

Highest

Date

Calendar

Gain


type

Date

AD

Price

Close

HC

days

%

SOUTHBANK

Short Term

29/06/07

127.50

152.50

152.50

13/07/07

14

19.61

SREINTFIN

Long Term

02/07/07

92.20

95.85

97.50

04/07/07

2

5.75

SRF

Short Term

05/07/07

175.75

172.10

176.10

12/07/07



TATAMETALI

Short Term

12/07/07

147.95

142.60

147.95

12/07/07



TINPLATE

Medium Term

02/07/07

60.80

56.90

60.80

02/07/07



XLTL

Medium Term

02/07/07

138.75

136.40

140.05

03/07/07







SUNDARAMURTHY VADIVELU


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